He can’t run againJordan Bardella would be PM if National Rally win. The leadership is, let’s say, eccentric, and generally considered incompetent. Macron’s bet is either, a) it acts as a call to arms against the far right and he gets his pick of PM, or b) the RN get in and become massively unpopular in government, leading to a clear run for him in the 2027 presidential election
Quite right, I forgot it got amended.He can’t run again
No, he stays president until 2027 and calls for a new presidential and legislative election then.Would this snap election not push the next one into 2028? (Assuming another premature one wasn’t called)
Unless he gets destituted before by a National Rally led parliament + the current senate. Which is very unlikely.No, he stays president until 2027 and calls for a new presidential and legislative election then.
This seems like *quite* a gamble if true!
Where do the French far-right stand on arming Ukraine, for instance?
although they very much are , Marine Le Pen has close ties to Putin, she borrowed the funds to finance her campaign from himThey have a vey ambiguous position regarding Ukraine, mostly abstaining when it comes to these votes, to not pass as pro-Russian.
In 2022, Macron beat Le Pen by roughly 60 to 40. That’s about how much Bardella and the niece got combined yesterday. It’s still a considerable percentage of absolute racists in a country where the media is basically controlled by the right/far right.I’m completely shocked about the extent people have voted for the Far Right Parties of Le Pen and Marion Marechal in France ..apart from Paris Jordan Bardella, the far right candidate, came first EVERYWHERE, and the homophobic niece of Le Pen has more votes than the Green Party. It’s all too depressing to comprehend
Is the French electoral system, which seems to be AV with extra steps, really the PR system to hold up here?Also, interesting that leftists in the UK are so vocal about wanting PR, while in PR dominated Europe a lot of left wing parties only recourse is to cut all kinds of deals to try to get back to something closer to first past the post.
I've always enjoyed Ballot Box Scotland's commentary on the electoral system, and this is a good criticism of Scotland's system, and potential fixesMy preference would be Irish style multi member constituencies with STV.
I like the aim of AMS, but I don’t like party lists, and there’s too much scope for gaming the system for my liking.
That was a good read. I should read their briefing on Scandinavian-style PR, as I’ve never really understood the weirder bits of the Swedish (and Danish?) systems.I've always enjoyed Ballot Box Scotland's commentary on the electoral system, and this is a good criticism of Scotland's system, and potential fixes
SP21 – Reforming AMS
Sure, Holyrood is unlikely to vote for my hyper-proportional, FPTP-free preferred voting system. But there are some solid, yet mild, reforms to AMS that could vastly improve it.ballotbox.scot
It’s the same coalition that was formed during the 2022 legislative election. It kind of worked and got about as many MPs as the far right. With Macron getting the most, with only a relative majority though.French leftwing parties form ‘Popular Front’ to contest snap election
Socialists, Greens, Communists and France Unbowed to have joint platform with a candidate in every constituencywww.theguardian.com
The Hungarian left tried this a couple of years ago and absolutely tanked, as the electorate didn’t seem to buy that the parties could govern together on a coherent manifesto. Hope it goes better for the French.
Also, interesting that leftists in the UK are so vocal about wanting PR, while in PR dominated Europe a lot of left wing parties only recourse is to cut all kinds of deals to try to get back to something closer to first past the post.
I’ll you guys guess Macron’s voting instructions for his base in these casesThis time though, Macron’s chances are at an all time low. And many more second rounds are going to end up being Left vs. Far Right.